Natural Disasters and Public Concern: The Impact of the 2024 Valencia DANA on Climate Change Awareness

Autor principal:
Luis Azores Hernaez (Universidad Carlos III de Madrid)
Programa:
Sesión 2, Sesión 2
Día: miércoles, 9 de septiembre de 2026
Hora: 11:30 a 13:15
Lugar: Sem. 2

While there is a growing body of literature on the effects of climate events on public opinion, this paper examines the impact of the October 2024 DANA floods in Valencia on climate concern, issue salience, and ideological positioning using monthly survey data from the Spanish Centro de Investigaciones Sociológicas (CIS) and a difference- in-differences design. Results show that exposure to the floods significantly increased climate change concern among affected individuals. However, this rise in concern did not translate into higher issue prioritization, as respondents became less likely to iden- tify environmental problems among the most important issues facing the country or themselves. The findings also reveal modest increases in ideological extremity but no clear evidence of increased polarization in climate attitudes. These results point to a disjunction between affective concern and political prioritization following ex- treme weather shocks, suggesting that such events may heighten awareness without strengthening climate change as a political priority. The study contributes to research on climate opinion by highlighting the conditional and multidimensional nature of public responses to environmental disasters.

Palabras clave: Climate Change, Natural Disaster, Public Opinion, Issue salience, Spain, Difference-in-differences